Climate change is becoming a source of significant additional risks for agriculture and food systems. Climate projections suggest that impacts will include shifting average growing conditions, increase climate and weather variability, and more uncertainty in predicting tomorrow’s climate and weather conditions. Agricultural risk management (ARM) is ideally placed to support stakeholders in building resilience to these increased risks in short and medium term. ARM can also play an important role in the transition to a climate-smarter agriculture system by offering a useful entry point for dialogue. The clear initial focus on the management of shorter term risks and their economic impact can help create a sense of urgency and attract stakeholder involvement that then paves the way for broader discussions around climate-smart agriculture. This study seeks to understand the climate change impacts on agricultural risk - how do risks change? - and on ARM - how can agricultural risk managers respond? This response has two elements: First, what role can ARM play in meeting the climate change challenge? Second, how will ARM need to adapt its methodology to the new normal of climate change?
This Risk Assessment Study (RAS) provides a comprehensive mapping and assessment of agricultural risks in Uganda through a holistic approach. The report provides stakeholders with data and information on priority risks for Ugandan agriculture in order to develop appropriate policy solutions aimed at improving agricultural risk management (ARM) in the country. The guiding policy framework for this work is the recently developed Agricultural Sector Strategy Paper 2014/15-19/20 (ASSP). The discussions with the stakeholders on a first draft of this study during the Risk Assessment Validation Workshop organized by the Government of Uganda in 29-30 June 2015 have contributed to improve this study.